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The profiles of the municipalities range from small territories 3,57 sq. Data Analysis The present study shows an Index of Human Vulnerability at the municipal belo desastre 2, under two climatic scenarios: The data and variables used were selected based on previous research developed by the group [ 9 — 11 ] as well as on the specific literature on the quantification of vulnerability and also on the availability of the data.
The last published version includes a 20 km grid of horizontal resolution, which was used as basis for the current study. The climatic variables used from the model output were average daily temperatures TP2M in Celsius degrees and the total daily precipitation mm. The climatic anomalies considered were the absolute difference between the future climate — and the — baseline.
The process included the development of an experimental semivariogram for the description of the spatial dependency of the variables followed by an interpolation with ordinary kriging in order to estimate the values of the climatic variables for nonsampled localities. The last step in the process was a cross validation to assess the uncertainty associated with the belo desastre 2 obtained.
The downscaled values for all municipalities of Minas Gerais have shown a general pattern of changes in average temperature and precipitation.
Anomalies were calculated for two RCP: The indicators used to characterize the exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity were based on governmental data sources which are available to the public and are updated periodically. Software for Data Analysis Data were analyzed using the software SisVuClima, developed by a belo desastre 2 from Fiocruz, specifically for the calculation of vulnerability indices related to climatic change.
SisVuClima is a belo desastre 2 developed to both calculate the indices and produce thematic maps using the cartographic base of the municipalities. The system allows the periodic updating of indices through the inclusion of new data. The registration of data was made both automatically, from existing data bank, and manually. SisVuClima is compatible with both Windows and Linux operational systems [ 17 ]. Indicators in the Exposure Index included the conservation of natural ecosystems, considered as a proxy for environmental services, and historical data showing the occurrence of weather-related disasters in each municipality.
The indicators used for the sensibility component were measures of poverty, literacy, age groups, sanitation, infant mortality, and the incidence of climate-sensitive endemic infectious diseases. Everything you need to learn Hebrew from the alphabet to translating the Bible on your own. Here you'll find basic information about [